Weather Outlook

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Date & Time: 08/16/2017 10:05 AM MST

Forecaster: Henz, D.

Synopsis:

Little change in the forecast is expected the next few days as our Monsoon break period continues. Looking at the big picture, the Monsoon ridge remains well to our south across central Mexico with general westerly flow in control across the Desert Southwest. This pattern will continue to promote sunny skies, dry conditions, and near/below average daily temperatures through the end of the work week. Looking ahead, changes to the pattern this weekend may allow for modest moisture return back into the state and a possible return to isolated storm activity mainly across the higher terrain regions of eastern AZ.

For today plan on clear and sunny skies across the region. Afternoon temperatures will warm into the 100˚F-102˚F range around the Valley with upper 90s across the foothills communities. Light and variable will generally remain in the 3-8mph range with no gusts of any consequence. Overnight lows will dip into the upper 70s to low 80s around the Valley under clear skies and light winds.

For tomorrow plan on another healthy dosing of sun under clear skies. Daytime highs will climb into the 101˚F-103˚F range around the Valley. Light and variable winds will remain in the 3-7mph range with no gusts of any consequence throughout the day. Friday and Saturday look to be the warmest days of the week with afternoon highs reaching around the 104˚F-106˚F range. During this time the Monsoon ridge is forecast to slowly redevelop across west TX eventually promoting moist southerly flow into the state. We may need to reintroduce t-storm chances across our higher terrain eastern zones by late weekend. More on this in the coming days.

Summer Heat Products

Forecast Today Tomorrow Day 3
Heat Risk Low Low Low
Air Quality (O3) Moderate Moderate Moderate

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